A Shockingly Simple Stocks Momentum Indicator

by Ahmad Hassam March 10th, 2010

Following a trend is great. But if the trend is moving quickly, you want to know that so that you can get ahead of it. If the rate of change of the trend is going up, rising prices are going to follow quickly.

Now first what is a momentum? You must have read about the momentum in high school physics.Momentum was the velocity multiplied by the mass of the object. Velocity was the rate of change. So when we talk of momentum in trading, we are talking of the rate of change of any security prices. Now. a simple way to calculate the momentum of any security price is to divide the closing price today by the closing price ten days back and then multiply it by 100!

This is your shockingly simple momentum indicator that you can use profitably in your trading. Now, if the price did not change, the momentum indicator will obviously will be 100. If the price went down, the momentum indicator will be less than 100 and if the price went up, the momentum indicator will be more than 100. Now, when the momentum indicator is greater than 100, the trend is expected to continue in the future.

This momentum indicator tells you what is most likely to happen in the future not what happened in the past. So it is a leading indicator. You must have heard about momentum investing or you can even call it momentum trading. In momentum investing , you buy a security at a high price and sell it even at a more higher price unlike ordinary investing where you buy low and sell high. The trick is to know that the price will continue to rise when you do momentum investing. How do you know that the security prices will continue to rise in the future? By looking at the business fundamentals like the sales or profits, if you find them to be rising and accelerating at the same time the security price is rising,there is momentum behind this move!

However, in momentum investing, you search for stocks that have rising prices that are expected to continue for sometime. So you buy high and sell even higher within a few weeks making a decent profit. You can use that profit to do more investing. As said before, instead of investing in a security or a stock you can do momentum investing. When you are doing ordinary investing, you are waiting for its price to appreciate to give you a capital gain. This price appreciation might take from a few months to even years tying down your capital in that investing.

So when you are doing momentum investing, you are looking for a security or a stock that has a potential to move big. How long this big move might take to materialize? Well, the expectation is for the big move to happen in a few weeks to a few months. Just like in ordinary physics, when a ball is set in motion, it will continue moving unless stopped. This is what the Newton’s First Law says. You can expect a security price to keep on rising as long as something drastic doesn’t happen to stop that rise. So what can be that something drastic? It can be a sudden breaking news about the misdoings of the management that have not been known to the public before. I am just giving you one example. There can be more. So before you do your momentum investing, it is always better to do some fundamental research on the company. Remember the Dot Com Bubble that burst and hurt many people a decade back. Lot of people were doing momentum investing without doing fundamental research on the stocks that they were investing in. So you need to do some fundamental research as well to ascertain that the rise in prices of a stock are sustainable over the long haul or not.

There are many way to do momentum investing. One is the price momentum that we have talked above. The other can be Earning Momentum. If you are a long haul investor who keeps an eye on the financial statements of different companies and you find that the quaterly earnings are going up steadily from one quater to another. What this means is that the stock price will also accelerate and follow suit.

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Bullish White Long Candlestick Pattern-The Bullish White Marubozu

by Ahmad Hassam March 10th, 2010

The most bullish of the candlestick pattern is the long white candle. It represents that day when bulls have been in total control of the market throughout the trading day pushing prices higher from the opening to the closing.

There were some sellers also in the market. Buyers were just buying from them and pushing the prices still further throughout the trading day! So when a bullish long candle is formed, it indicates that buyers have been buying throughout the day.

Now, what this means is that prices have been constantly rising throughout the trading day. The closing price was equal to the high of the day or very near the high of the day. This is an indication that the buyers are not done with their buying. The following day the bulls will still be in control and pushing the prices further higher. This is an indication of the fact that there are not enough stocks or securities in the market to satisfy the buying appetite of the investors. With high demand and low supply, the prices will continue to rise!

Now, a true White Marubozu is a special variation of the long white candle with the closing price equal to the high of the day and the opening price equal to the low of the day. However, a White Marubozu may not be formed quite frequently on the chart. Most of the time, you are going to find the white long candle with a wick on either side of the candle body. These wicks will be small offcourse. What this indicates is that the closing price was close to the high of the day but not equal to it. In the same way, the opening price was close or near to the low of the day but not equal to it!

How do you know that this is indeed the white long candle? You wil find many bullish white candles on the chart. Off course, everyone will not be the white long candle. When you find that 90% of the area between the low and high of the day is covered by the candle body, you know that this is indeed a long white candle.

Now always remember, price action doesn’t move in one direction always. It retraces a little bit and then again starts moving in the previous direction. So when this retracement in price action takes place, you get the chance to trade the signal! When a long white candle is formed, it means that the price action had been intense throughout the day. This price action was covered in a very short period of time.

Now when you trade the bullish long white candle, you can take the low price as the support. This is the price level where the buyers step in thinking that the price is good now and start pushing it higher.

There are some variations to the bullish long white candle. Three are very important. The first is the Long White Marubozu that has no wick. It is all candlebody. This is the most bullish of the candlestick patterns. The other variation is the Closing White Marubozu. In this case, the closing price is equal to the high of the day. What this means is that there is no wick on the top of the candlebody.The third important variation is the Opening White Marubozu. In this case, the open price is equal to the low of the day. What this means is that the there is no wick below the candle body.

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Dragonfly & Gravestone Doji Candlestick Patterns- A Rare But Highly Profitable Patterns!

by Ahmad Hassam March 9th, 2010

A Doji Candlestick Pattern is formed when the opening and the closing prices are the same. So, there is no stick on the candlestick. There are some variations but essentially a Doji is almost all wicks with no body. A Doji looks more like a cross rather than a candlestick pattern.

So for a Doji to be truly formed on a trading day, throughtout the trading day heavy buying or selling may take place but at the end of the day, the price should be where it had been at the start. In other words, the opening and the closing prices should be the same for a Doji to be formed.

It is a signal that the battle between the bulls and the bears had been a draw during the trading day when a Doji is formed with the opening and the closing prices equal. Soon, either the bulls or the bears are going to previal. In other words, a trend reversal is about to take place.

So how is a Dragonfly Doji is formed? It is formed when the security price opens. It is traded down during the early part of the day. At some point in the trading day, the price action starts to recover and climb. It eventually closes at the high which happens to equal the open of the day. Something unique! Now, a Dragonfly Doji is a unique variation to the Doji Candlestick Pattern. It is formed when the opening, the closing and the high prices are all equal. Something quite rare and unique.

When a Dragonfly Doji is formed, bears initially decide to rule the market. But at some point the bulls step in and decide to buy again. When the bulls step in, they start pushing the price up. As the bulls dominate the trading day, the security price ends up right where it had started.

Dragonfly Doji is considered to be a bullish candlestick pattern. The low on this pattern can be taken as the support level because this was the level at which the bears entered the market and started buying.

When a Bearish Gravestone Doji Pattern is formed, it is a signal that a prolonged downtrend is about to start in the market. The second important variation to the Doji is the Bearish Gravestone Doji. This pattern is formed when the open and close of the day is equal to the low of the day. This is something opposite to the Dragonfly Doji where the open, the close and the high were equal.

A Doji pattern is very easy to spot on the candlestick chart as there is no body just the wick. Open close and either low or high all three are equal and the candle looks more like a cross. When you spot the Doji, get ready for a trend change in the price action.

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The Rewards Of Trading The Forex Market

by Mike Keeler March 9th, 2010

If you really love a good challenge, you’ll love learning to trade in the Forex market. Learning how to trade in foreign currencies can be one of the most rewarding challenges you’ll ever face. You’ll learn so much about yourself while you learn how to trade, and you’ll be able to apply everything you’ve learned to all aspects of life.

There are so many useful things you learn along with trading in the Forex market. The art of handling pressure situations, controlling your emotions and at the same time maintaining a cool and calm mind are the various aspects you tend to develop. Such self-control will make allow you think clearly and act according to the situation in order to be a success.

It is not easy to master the art of Forex trading. You need to be hard working, dedicated and passionate about the trade. There are bound to be ups and downs. It is always advisable to be trained by an experienced tutor, as they can train you to adapt to different situations instantly. It would be even better if such a tutor is a trader himself because you can learn certain practical tactics to adopt. This will make learning the art of trading very interesting and purposeful.

Learning to trade from an experienced tutor can certainly reduce your risk margin considerably. If you were to start trading without any basic knowledge about the subject, you are always at a risk of facing situations that you will not know how to handle. Also, you will learn the art in much shorter a time than by learning by your own trial and error methods.

Learning the Forex business requires a good attitude, so remember to try and be as upbeat and positive as you can. Even the best traders experience downward trends, so don’t be discouraged. It’s not so much whether you win or lose, but how you react to winning or losing that determines whether you succeed or fail as a trader.

There are quite a number of factors that influence your success in the Forex market. Quite possibly, the greatest factor in your success will be how you handle your emotions and whether you are consistent enough to stick around to get into the big leagues - i.e., become a professional trader. Being a professional trader, of course, requires you to properly assess and manage the risks on every trade you make.

Life is a gamble, and Forex trading is no less a gamble. One of life’s greatest lessons is learning to accept the possibility of loss and being able to properly assess whether you can afford to suffer that loss. Emotion management in Forex trading involves knowing how much you might lose on a trade before you embark on it, and being able to suffer that loss with grace. You might be surprised to learn how many traders can’t seem to manage their risks or, for that matter, their emotions when it comes to losing.

Once you have learnt to trade the Forex markets, you can certainly trade with confidence and be consistent. Most of the successful traders are successful in other aspects of life too, as being a trader makes approach difficult situations with a clear mind. They can also control their emotions well.

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The Basic Advantage Of The Forex Mini Account

by Patrick Roody March 9th, 2010

New investors are strongly urged to check out the Forex mini account before delving in head first into full scale trading. The mini account is a restricted account, developed to help you learn some of the more valuable trading lessons along the way. If you are able to develop the account into a profitable stake, you will end up with more trading options.

As with most Forex trades, there is a certain amount of risk involved. If you are looking to scale down your risk factor by a large percentage while learning the imperative skills you need, the mini account can help you tremendously.

You will still have access to mock accounts to learn better trading skills and your losses are minimized thanks to the easy set system of restriction. For every $1000 of account availability you will have a total of 1 pip for trading. Losing just one pip with a mini account is much less dominating than the loss of a 30 pip trade.

The Forex mini account is relatively simple to open and easy to use. If you know how you want to develop your strategy you will find that the mini account is the perfect hatch cover. It is a means to developing your skills while keeping you hanging high above disastrous risk with higher pip trades.

Think of the mini account like a learner’s permit for the Forex world. It gives you all the opportunity to make profits and lose money without asking you to be totally accountable for any errors you make. Just like when you turned in your driving permit for the real thing, you will be able to step up you level of tolerance and risk with your mini account.

The Forex mini account can be acquired through a Forex online management program that can offer you the tools and the guidance necessary for the gradual increase of funds and trades. It’s sort of like learning to trade Forex with a set of training wheels until you are prepared to go the whole mile without looking back.

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Profitable Candlestick Patterns -Bullish Necklines, Bearish Meeting Lines & bearish Piercing Line

by Ahmad Hassam March 9th, 2010

Trend trading is one of the most profitable trading strategies. You must have heard the oft repeated quote that Trend is your friend. But trend can only be your friend if you know how it is going to behave in the future. If you don’t know that the trend is going to reverse soon, you are going to end up with a heavy loss. Candlestick charting is one of the ways to predict the future of a trend whether it is going to reverse itself in the near future or continue for sometime. Bullish Necklines is a candlestick pattern that can help you know whether the trend is continuing or not. It is a trend confirmation pattern. There are types of Necklines Patterns; one is the In Neck and the other is the Out Neck Pattern.

On the first day, there will be a long bullish candle indicating that heavy buying took place during the day. On the second day or what you call the signal day, there will be a bearish candle that can be long or short with a closing price almost close to the first day. Necklines pattern is a two stick pattern. What this means is that it takes two days on the daily chart for this pattern to form.

Now,there can be two types of Neckline Patterns depending on the closing prices on the signal and the setup days. If the closing price on the signal day is almost near the closing price on the setup day, it is an On Neck Pattern. In case, if the closing price on the first day is little lower than the closing price on the signal day, it is a In Neck Pattern.

You might be thinking that this is not much of a difference. Well, this is true but nevertheless, you should be aware of this slight difference between the In Neck and the On Neck Patterns. Both these patterns are telling the same thing that the uptrend is going to continue in the near future. So even if you are not able to differentiate between the In Neck and the On Neck, don’t worry much. You must at least be able to identify that a Neckline Pattern has been formed.

In case of the bearish meeting line candlestick pattern, you see a strong up day on the setup day with a long bullish candle. On the signal day, you find a gap opening which entices the sellers to step in the market. The selling continues throughout the day. As a result a long bearish candle is formed with the close of the day very near its low plus the close of the day very near to the close of the setup day. Now this a trend reversal pattern.

Another trend reversal pattern is the Bearish Piercing Ling Pattern. This candlestick pattern is formed when on the first or the setup day, a bullish long candle is formed meaning that the bulls have been in control of the market throughout the day. The second day or what you call the signal day, there will be a bearish candle formed. This bearish candle should have an opening higher than the first day’s high. This means that on the second day or what you call the signal day, the sellers started selling pushing the price action down past the opening price to the midpoint of the first day candle.

This is a trend reversal pattern that usually occurs in the last stages of an uptrend. The price is still rising but it has lost its momentum. Now as a trader, when you combine these candlestick patterns with technical indicators, you get a powerful tool in your arsenal.

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Forex Program: Forex Killer

by Joshua Julien March 9th, 2010

Betting programs have flooded online markets and a lot of people have been purchasing them lately. I guess with the economy on a downward spiral and a lot of people getting laid off from their jobs, they will need to find another way to earn.

Trading has always been seen as a steady way to earn a decent living so more people are going in it now.

What I find really problematic with all these betting programs is the way they try and lure people into buying their software by promising all the impossible. So people unwittingly purchase their product, finds out that it is a bunch of crap and then label everything as a scam.

How do you tell one from the other then? I have been using the same program for a few months now and it is named Forex Killer.

Forex Killer is what you would call a signal generator software. It is called so because Forex Killer can generate trading signals for the trader to follow.

What I would probably advise anyone who would like to get in the business of trading is to couple every program they use with their own trading strategies.

In my case, I only use Forex Killer to clarify my doubts on price trends especially on the short term and long term aspects of it.

A totally great thing about Forex Killer is that the program only asks you to pay for a one time fee in order to use the service.

Other programs usually ask users to pay monthly fees in order to keep on availing of the services. This one time fee makes it very practical for the users and you even get free updates.

However, I found Forex Killer a bit difficult to use which would really be quite complex to all those who have just started trading.

But even if this was the case, I was able to resolve all issues by consulting the customer service which was very helpful.

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Day Trading Forex Currency?

by Ashton Marseilles March 8th, 2010

Also called FX, The Forex Trading System Online is a system that trades world currencies. The number of countries that participate in this system presently are one hundred and fifty six.

The Forex System is the largest market to trade in the world, trading over three trillion dollars per day. This is largely for speculative purposes, although some business trades and necessary currency trades do take place. Considered an OTC of over-the-counter type of trading, it is worldwide. The main centers of trading are in New York, London, Tokyo, Frankfurt and Sydney. It is a twenty four hour market, trading from Sunday evening to Friday evening.

This market is in constant motion, so the trading opportunities are always there. In trading currencies you will find that they work against each other. So if you pay attention to the market, you can make a profit buying and selling sometimes during a given day. The Forex System gives you information online about quotes and charts, daily strategies, weekly market updates, and so much more. You should get to know the web site well before taking the plunge in this trading market.

Risky business is the name of this game, and you should realize that before you begin to trade currencies. With the Forex System, however, you will find information about your trade and what its potential for making a profit can be. There is also the meta trader, or MT4 platform, which provides advisors to you when you need them. When in doubt of making a trade, you should always consult with a dealer or advisor through this system.

You will also have access to the indicator robots, wherein they get through the tedious work and research and analyze for you. They can do all of the math calculations you need based on the data of the market.

You will need to know some basics of trading, as well as familiarizing yourself with the glossary of trading. For example, a bear market recognizes the sustained falls in the market. The bear is someone who is pessimistic about the market, noticing that the prices are falling, and does not think that the market will recover any time soon. A bull market is a market that is enthusiastic with sustained buying power. The bull is positive and thinks that prices are heading upward.

The risks you will take, when you are trading currencies, have to do with the fact that you are trying to control the outcomes of the currencies which you have purchased through the Forex System to be able to make a profit when you trade them for other currencies in the future. There is no crystal ball for the currency trader, although you can educate yourself as to what is happening in the market day by day, or perhaps hour by hour, in order to get a better handle on your potential investment.

Currency trading is also liquid, so that you can turn your profits into cash fast with the Forex Trading System Online.

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Trading The Economic Reports Like Non Farm Payroll Report Shocking Secrets

by Ahmad Hassam March 8th, 2010

Economics is the most important subject in the lives of individual, companies and countries. A ton of economic reports get released daily for the consumption of the markets. Some of these economic reports have the potential of moving the markets in a big way. For some forex, futures and options traders, trading these economic reports is a way of life. Each market has got its own favorite reports. But some reports have the potential of moving almost all the markets.

Now when these economic reports are released, market compares the expected with the unexpected. The more these reports have the element of the unexpected, the more the markets become nervous. So, if you are a news trader or an economic report trader, you need to watch CNBC and Bloomberg constantly to know what the market is expecting. The most market moving reports are the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, The Consumer and the Producer Price Index, The Gross Domestic Product (GDP). the monthly Employment Reports or what you call the NFP Report, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). Now as said before if these reports have no surprise for the markets, nothing will happen. But in case if there is a surprise, markets can turn upside down in matter of minutes!

As a trader, your world is highly dependent on the economic calendar. Economic calendar is the listing of dates when these important reports are released each month. Each month, these reports are released by different government agencies and the private sector. These reports are a major influence on how the financial markets move in general plus a source of the repetitiveness in the markets.

Not all reports are created equal. Some economic reports have more influence on the market than others. The most important reports that tend to move the markets a lot are the employment report, the Producer Price Index (PPI), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes.

Now, Non Farm Payroll Report or what you call the NFP Report is the most market moving report in the recent times. This report is released by the US DOL (Department of Labor) and it gives the state of employment in the economy during the last month period. It is released on the first Friday of each month exactly at 8:30 AM EST. There are NFP Report Traders who easily make 150-200 pips at this time within minutes.

Now as said before, the market reaction is dependent on how muc surprise there is in the report. If there is no element of unexpected in the report, the market may react mildly. But if there is a big surprise in the report that the market did not anticipate, markets can be volatile for hours or even days before the importance of the surprise is digested by the market. These types of reports can also start a news trend in the market that might last for quite sometime!

The NFP Report becomes very important when the economy is shifting gears like the present when the US economy is coming out of recession. Market tends to develop an expectation about the employment figures and if the NFP report does not confirm with that expectation, it can make the market jittery for sometime before the importance of the release is digested by the market. Trader use the NFP report as one of the several important clues to predict the future of the interest rates.

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Learning About Automated Forex Trading Systems

by George Hicks March 8th, 2010

Odds are that if you’ve looked into trading in the Forex market, you’ve come across automated Forex trading systems and wondered what they’re all about. This article will give you a quick overview.

It takes skill and knowledge to succeed in forex trading. People want to earn money fast without learning all the ins and outs, so they think an automated system will do some of the work for them.

The automated system will help you know exactly what’s going on in the market. It does forecasting for you, too. So you don’t have to have all the information in your head.

You purchase software and install it on your computer. Then it becomes your eyes and ears and brain. It looks to see if a currency is on its way up, decides if it’s been well reviewed, and tells you when to purchase. It deals with the facts, whereas human brains see the facts but get all tied up in emotions that can cloud the decision making.

Another advantage to using an automated system is that you can keep it running as much as you want. Suppose you were making all the decisions on your own with your computer. You occasionally have to leave your computer to do something else. What if you missed out on a good trend? This could mean a loss of hundreds, or even thousands of dollars.

You’re free to live your life, while the software program monitors what’s going on in the markets. That’s a big reason why traders, especially new traders, love these automated systems.

Often, an individual’s opinion of automated trading is a question of that person’s knowledge level. Ideally you should have a solid body of knowledge to work with. Then you’ll be in a good position to buy an effective automated trading program. You will have the advantages of using trading software while also understanding what the program is doing.

There are some bad reviews of automated forex trading but these are mainly the result of users who lack the necessary knowledge level to use them effectively. The software won’t save an inexperienced trader who doesn’t really know the market. Even with an automated system, you need to consider how much and what kind of information you have at hand.

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