A Shockingly Simple Stocks Momentum Indicator

Wednesday, March 10th, 2010

Following a trend is great. But if the trend is moving quickly, you want to know that so that you can get ahead of it. If the rate of change of the trend is going up, rising prices are going to follow quickly.

Now first what is a momentum? You must have read about the momentum in high school physics.Momentum was the velocity multiplied by the mass of the object. Velocity was the rate of change. So when we talk of momentum in trading, we are talking of the rate of change of any security prices. Now. a simple way to calculate the momentum of any security price is to divide the closing price today by the closing price ten days back and then multiply it by 100!

This is your shockingly simple momentum indicator that you can use profitably in your trading. Now, if the price did not change, the momentum indicator will obviously will be 100. If the price went down, the momentum indicator will be less than 100 and if the price went up, the momentum indicator will be more than 100. Now, when the momentum indicator is greater than 100, the trend is expected to continue in the future.

This momentum indicator tells you what is most likely to happen in the future not what happened in the past. So it is a leading indicator. You must have heard about momentum investing or you can even call it momentum trading. In momentum investing , you buy a security at a high price and sell it even at a more higher price unlike ordinary investing where you buy low and sell high. The trick is to know that the price will continue to rise when you do momentum investing. How do you know that the security prices will continue to rise in the future? By looking at the business fundamentals like the sales or profits, if you find them to be rising and accelerating at the same time the security price is rising,there is momentum behind this move!

However, in momentum investing, you search for stocks that have rising prices that are expected to continue for sometime. So you buy high and sell even higher within a few weeks making a decent profit. You can use that profit to do more investing. As said before, instead of investing in a security or a stock you can do momentum investing. When you are doing ordinary investing, you are waiting for its price to appreciate to give you a capital gain. This price appreciation might take from a few months to even years tying down your capital in that investing.

So when you are doing momentum investing, you are looking for a security or a stock that has a potential to move big. How long this big move might take to materialize? Well, the expectation is for the big move to happen in a few weeks to a few months. Just like in ordinary physics, when a ball is set in motion, it will continue moving unless stopped. This is what the Newton’s First Law says. You can expect a security price to keep on rising as long as something drastic doesn’t happen to stop that rise. So what can be that something drastic? It can be a sudden breaking news about the misdoings of the management that have not been known to the public before. I am just giving you one example. There can be more. So before you do your momentum investing, it is always better to do some fundamental research on the company. Remember the Dot Com Bubble that burst and hurt many people a decade back. Lot of people were doing momentum investing without doing fundamental research on the stocks that they were investing in. So you need to do some fundamental research as well to ascertain that the rise in prices of a stock are sustainable over the long haul or not.

There are many way to do momentum investing. One is the price momentum that we have talked above. The other can be Earning Momentum. If you are a long haul investor who keeps an eye on the financial statements of different companies and you find that the quaterly earnings are going up steadily from one quater to another. What this means is that the stock price will also accelerate and follow suit.

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Bullish White Long Candlestick Pattern-The Bullish White Marubozu

Wednesday, March 10th, 2010

The most bullish of the candlestick pattern is the long white candle. It represents that day when bulls have been in total control of the market throughout the trading day pushing prices higher from the opening to the closing.

There were some sellers also in the market. Buyers were just buying from them and pushing the prices still further throughout the trading day! So when a bullish long candle is formed, it indicates that buyers have been buying throughout the day.

Now, what this means is that prices have been constantly rising throughout the trading day. The closing price was equal to the high of the day or very near the high of the day. This is an indication that the buyers are not done with their buying. The following day the bulls will still be in control and pushing the prices further higher. This is an indication of the fact that there are not enough stocks or securities in the market to satisfy the buying appetite of the investors. With high demand and low supply, the prices will continue to rise!

Now, a true White Marubozu is a special variation of the long white candle with the closing price equal to the high of the day and the opening price equal to the low of the day. However, a White Marubozu may not be formed quite frequently on the chart. Most of the time, you are going to find the white long candle with a wick on either side of the candle body. These wicks will be small offcourse. What this indicates is that the closing price was close to the high of the day but not equal to it. In the same way, the opening price was close or near to the low of the day but not equal to it!

How do you know that this is indeed the white long candle? You wil find many bullish white candles on the chart. Off course, everyone will not be the white long candle. When you find that 90% of the area between the low and high of the day is covered by the candle body, you know that this is indeed a long white candle.

Now always remember, price action doesn’t move in one direction always. It retraces a little bit and then again starts moving in the previous direction. So when this retracement in price action takes place, you get the chance to trade the signal! When a long white candle is formed, it means that the price action had been intense throughout the day. This price action was covered in a very short period of time.

Now when you trade the bullish long white candle, you can take the low price as the support. This is the price level where the buyers step in thinking that the price is good now and start pushing it higher.

There are some variations to the bullish long white candle. Three are very important. The first is the Long White Marubozu that has no wick. It is all candlebody. This is the most bullish of the candlestick patterns. The other variation is the Closing White Marubozu. In this case, the closing price is equal to the high of the day. What this means is that there is no wick on the top of the candlebody.The third important variation is the Opening White Marubozu. In this case, the open price is equal to the low of the day. What this means is that the there is no wick below the candle body.

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Dragonfly & Gravestone Doji Candlestick Patterns- A Rare But Highly Profitable Patterns!

Tuesday, March 9th, 2010

A Doji Candlestick Pattern is formed when the opening and the closing prices are the same. So, there is no stick on the candlestick. There are some variations but essentially a Doji is almost all wicks with no body. A Doji looks more like a cross rather than a candlestick pattern.

So for a Doji to be truly formed on a trading day, throughtout the trading day heavy buying or selling may take place but at the end of the day, the price should be where it had been at the start. In other words, the opening and the closing prices should be the same for a Doji to be formed.

It is a signal that the battle between the bulls and the bears had been a draw during the trading day when a Doji is formed with the opening and the closing prices equal. Soon, either the bulls or the bears are going to previal. In other words, a trend reversal is about to take place.

So how is a Dragonfly Doji is formed? It is formed when the security price opens. It is traded down during the early part of the day. At some point in the trading day, the price action starts to recover and climb. It eventually closes at the high which happens to equal the open of the day. Something unique! Now, a Dragonfly Doji is a unique variation to the Doji Candlestick Pattern. It is formed when the opening, the closing and the high prices are all equal. Something quite rare and unique.

When a Dragonfly Doji is formed, bears initially decide to rule the market. But at some point the bulls step in and decide to buy again. When the bulls step in, they start pushing the price up. As the bulls dominate the trading day, the security price ends up right where it had started.

Dragonfly Doji is considered to be a bullish candlestick pattern. The low on this pattern can be taken as the support level because this was the level at which the bears entered the market and started buying.

When a Bearish Gravestone Doji Pattern is formed, it is a signal that a prolonged downtrend is about to start in the market. The second important variation to the Doji is the Bearish Gravestone Doji. This pattern is formed when the open and close of the day is equal to the low of the day. This is something opposite to the Dragonfly Doji where the open, the close and the high were equal.

A Doji pattern is very easy to spot on the candlestick chart as there is no body just the wick. Open close and either low or high all three are equal and the candle looks more like a cross. When you spot the Doji, get ready for a trend change in the price action.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide! Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade-stocks, forex, futures or options FREE!

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Profitable Candlestick Patterns -Bullish Necklines, Bearish Meeting Lines & bearish Piercing Line

Tuesday, March 9th, 2010

Trend trading is one of the most profitable trading strategies. You must have heard the oft repeated quote that Trend is your friend. But trend can only be your friend if you know how it is going to behave in the future. If you don’t know that the trend is going to reverse soon, you are going to end up with a heavy loss. Candlestick charting is one of the ways to predict the future of a trend whether it is going to reverse itself in the near future or continue for sometime. Bullish Necklines is a candlestick pattern that can help you know whether the trend is continuing or not. It is a trend confirmation pattern. There are types of Necklines Patterns; one is the In Neck and the other is the Out Neck Pattern.

On the first day, there will be a long bullish candle indicating that heavy buying took place during the day. On the second day or what you call the signal day, there will be a bearish candle that can be long or short with a closing price almost close to the first day. Necklines pattern is a two stick pattern. What this means is that it takes two days on the daily chart for this pattern to form.

Now,there can be two types of Neckline Patterns depending on the closing prices on the signal and the setup days. If the closing price on the signal day is almost near the closing price on the setup day, it is an On Neck Pattern. In case, if the closing price on the first day is little lower than the closing price on the signal day, it is a In Neck Pattern.

You might be thinking that this is not much of a difference. Well, this is true but nevertheless, you should be aware of this slight difference between the In Neck and the On Neck Patterns. Both these patterns are telling the same thing that the uptrend is going to continue in the near future. So even if you are not able to differentiate between the In Neck and the On Neck, don’t worry much. You must at least be able to identify that a Neckline Pattern has been formed.

In case of the bearish meeting line candlestick pattern, you see a strong up day on the setup day with a long bullish candle. On the signal day, you find a gap opening which entices the sellers to step in the market. The selling continues throughout the day. As a result a long bearish candle is formed with the close of the day very near its low plus the close of the day very near to the close of the setup day. Now this a trend reversal pattern.

Another trend reversal pattern is the Bearish Piercing Ling Pattern. This candlestick pattern is formed when on the first or the setup day, a bullish long candle is formed meaning that the bulls have been in control of the market throughout the day. The second day or what you call the signal day, there will be a bearish candle formed. This bearish candle should have an opening higher than the first day’s high. This means that on the second day or what you call the signal day, the sellers started selling pushing the price action down past the opening price to the midpoint of the first day candle.

This is a trend reversal pattern that usually occurs in the last stages of an uptrend. The price is still rising but it has lost its momentum. Now as a trader, when you combine these candlestick patterns with technical indicators, you get a powerful tool in your arsenal.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report FREE! Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide!

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Forex Program: Forex Killer

Tuesday, March 9th, 2010

Betting programs have flooded online markets and a lot of people have been purchasing them lately. I guess with the economy on a downward spiral and a lot of people getting laid off from their jobs, they will need to find another way to earn.

Trading has always been seen as a steady way to earn a decent living so more people are going in it now.

What I find really problematic with all these betting programs is the way they try and lure people into buying their software by promising all the impossible. So people unwittingly purchase their product, finds out that it is a bunch of crap and then label everything as a scam.

How do you tell one from the other then? I have been using the same program for a few months now and it is named Forex Killer.

Forex Killer is what you would call a signal generator software. It is called so because Forex Killer can generate trading signals for the trader to follow.

What I would probably advise anyone who would like to get in the business of trading is to couple every program they use with their own trading strategies.

In my case, I only use Forex Killer to clarify my doubts on price trends especially on the short term and long term aspects of it.

A totally great thing about Forex Killer is that the program only asks you to pay for a one time fee in order to use the service.

Other programs usually ask users to pay monthly fees in order to keep on availing of the services. This one time fee makes it very practical for the users and you even get free updates.

However, I found Forex Killer a bit difficult to use which would really be quite complex to all those who have just started trading.

But even if this was the case, I was able to resolve all issues by consulting the customer service which was very helpful.

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Trading The Economic Reports Like Non Farm Payroll Report Shocking Secrets

Monday, March 8th, 2010

Economics is the most important subject in the lives of individual, companies and countries. A ton of economic reports get released daily for the consumption of the markets. Some of these economic reports have the potential of moving the markets in a big way. For some forex, futures and options traders, trading these economic reports is a way of life. Each market has got its own favorite reports. But some reports have the potential of moving almost all the markets.

Now when these economic reports are released, market compares the expected with the unexpected. The more these reports have the element of the unexpected, the more the markets become nervous. So, if you are a news trader or an economic report trader, you need to watch CNBC and Bloomberg constantly to know what the market is expecting. The most market moving reports are the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, The Consumer and the Producer Price Index, The Gross Domestic Product (GDP). the monthly Employment Reports or what you call the NFP Report, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). Now as said before if these reports have no surprise for the markets, nothing will happen. But in case if there is a surprise, markets can turn upside down in matter of minutes!

As a trader, your world is highly dependent on the economic calendar. Economic calendar is the listing of dates when these important reports are released each month. Each month, these reports are released by different government agencies and the private sector. These reports are a major influence on how the financial markets move in general plus a source of the repetitiveness in the markets.

Not all reports are created equal. Some economic reports have more influence on the market than others. The most important reports that tend to move the markets a lot are the employment report, the Producer Price Index (PPI), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes.

Now, Non Farm Payroll Report or what you call the NFP Report is the most market moving report in the recent times. This report is released by the US DOL (Department of Labor) and it gives the state of employment in the economy during the last month period. It is released on the first Friday of each month exactly at 8:30 AM EST. There are NFP Report Traders who easily make 150-200 pips at this time within minutes.

Now as said before, the market reaction is dependent on how muc surprise there is in the report. If there is no element of unexpected in the report, the market may react mildly. But if there is a big surprise in the report that the market did not anticipate, markets can be volatile for hours or even days before the importance of the surprise is digested by the market. These types of reports can also start a news trend in the market that might last for quite sometime!

The NFP Report becomes very important when the economy is shifting gears like the present when the US economy is coming out of recession. Market tends to develop an expectation about the employment figures and if the NFP report does not confirm with that expectation, it can make the market jittery for sometime before the importance of the release is digested by the market. Trader use the NFP report as one of the several important clues to predict the future of the interest rates.

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The Truth About Forex Autopilot

Monday, March 8th, 2010

With the economy going into a downward spiral, hundreds of people have loss their jobs as brought about by the recession. This has forced them to look for alternative means of earning a living.

And a number of them have chosen the foreign exchange market. This is because day traders have earned a reputation of being quite well-off.

Certainly, there are a number of advantages associated with day trading. One is that the currencies in foreign exchange markets go through fluctuations throughout the day which mean that there is a lot of room to make considerable profits.

Second, day trading does not require one to have a huge start-up capital before one can start trading. Lastly, help in the form of trading bots are available almost anywhere.

Going into the foreign exchange market especially if you do not know a lot about it requires help from an efficient trading robot.

There are plenty of these programs available in the market but you have to filter the underperforming ones out.

One thing that you will notice about these trading robots is the outrageous claims that they do. An example is that of Forex Autopilot which claims in its sales page that it can make anyone filthy rich just by doing a few clicks throughout the day.

This can be a very tempting offer, but you have to understand that there is more to the product than that.

What Forex Autopilot really is, is an automated trading bot so it is true that it can start betting just by getting access to your funds in your behalf.

But before you can have the Forex Autopilot run on its own, you will have to set up a few parameters first. These parameters require fundamental knowledge on the foreign exchange market but then these can be configured quite easily.

Forex Autopilot is also significantly accurate when it comes to making bets but unlike what it claims, you have to be wiser when it comes to trading. Losses rarely happen but when they do, you can lose quite a lot.

To remedy this, never bet more than 50% of your capital. This may translate into smaller gains but you also get manageable losses.

Take a look at my webwebsite to learn more about forex autopilot now.

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My Thoughts On Forex Killer

Monday, March 8th, 2010

We have seen the rise of foreign exchange software in the past few years especially the ones being sold in the internet. The really annoying thing about these betting programs is that they often have outrageous claims linked to them.

Because of this, betting softwares have garnered bad publicity especially since a number of them do fail to deliver.

Trading systems work by generating trading signals so that a trader can get the most profits. The importance of these signals is that they tell the trader which place to bet in order to get the most returns on one’s investment.

Once this is established, the trader can bet intelligently and get much returns for his investment. This makes trading systems essential for every trader.

One of these foreign exchange trading system is Forex Killer. The man behind Forex Killer is Andreas Kirchberger. Because of its significant accuracy in making trading bets, Forex Killer has been known as the “expert adviser”.

When you purchase the system, you will get other training materials, software documentation and a trading deposit worth $50.

What Forex Killer basically claims to do is to generate different trading signals within the day. What differentiates Forex Killer from other systems is that the latter only sends these signals and this can take quite long. The only thing that the trader has to do is to supply the missing information in order for the software to generate the signals.

Forex Killer has a few benefits coupled with it when you use it for day trading. First, it can be employed in different platforms and may be used with any broker from any country.

It follows then that it can be used to trade in any currency and any financial market. The convenience of this software comes from the fact that it can be used anywhere.

But then, Forex Killer also has a bad side to it. It is pretty unanimous that Forex Killer is an efficient trading system, the only thing that makes people turn against Forex Killer is the complexity in using the program.

However, Forex Killer does have a very effective customer service team which will always entertain questions about the software.

Checkout my website to learn more about forex killer today!

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My Thoughts On Forex Autopilot

Monday, March 8th, 2010

If you scan the internet, you will find out that a new trading robot gets released almost every month.

So with a number of these programs floating in the internet, I can just imagine how confusing it might be for consumers to pick out the right one.

The newest of these trading programs is Forex Autopilot. Forex Autopilot is an automated forex trading program that is used with metatrader platform.

It was designed by professional day trader named Marcus Leary. It is famously advertised in the internet as a program that will make inexperienced traders into millionaires just with a few clicks a day.

This can be such an awesome claim especially for those who would like to be rich without having to do so much, however there are a few things that you have to learn about Forex Autopilot.

Before you get into any decision, it’s imperative that you know what you’re getting into.

What really then is Forex Autopilot? In a nutshell, Forex Autopilot is a kind of automated currency trading bot that can trade on your behalf by using a fund that you have initially set-up.

But it is necessary for you to set up the parameters first before you have the bot on autopilot. Setting the parameters require fundamental knowledge about foreign exchange.

But if you are uncertain of the entire program, there is a demonstration mode that you can access which includes a dummy account that you can run for as long as you want which you can use to practice on until you get the hang of things and progress to using real money.

As advertised, I have found out that Forex Autopilot is an accurate trading bot and that losses do not usually happen. However, when they do, the loss is usually a significant amount which can damage your profits.

To prevent this from happening, one should never bet more than 50% of one’s capital so that you cut your losses even if the gains may not be that high.

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Before Short Selling-Know These Shocking Facts

Sunday, March 7th, 2010

Short selling is one of the favorite day trading strategies employed by many day traders. Many companies hate short sellers as they believe that short sellers were responsible in the fall of their stock prices. Nothing can be far from the truth. Short selling is just like anyother market mechanism that provides liquidity and better price discovery. Short selling can never destroy a company if its’ fundamentals are strong. Many stock brokers now let you short stocks with just the click of a mouse. When you sell stocks from your online brokerage account, the message asks you whether you are selling your own shares or short selling. You just need to click once on short selling and the rest is taken care of by the broker. These shares are a loan to you by the broker that you will have to return at a later date!

In some cases,a stock gets so much shorted that there are no more shares of that stock left for you or your broker to borrow anymore. Now, you cannot always short a stock instantly. Most of the investors work on rumors. In that case, you simple will have to cross your fingers and see how the other short sellers do on that stock while you search for another stock to short!

Day traders are not looking for long term fundamentals in order to go short. A day trader might go short on a stock that had go up for three consecutive days, figuring that they will go down on the fourth day. Day traders are only looking for stock that might go down in price for mundane reasons.

You have to be careful about the uptick rule as stock exchanges have rules in place to help maintain an upward bias in the stock market. What this means is that you can only short a stock when the last trade was a move up. In other words, you can’t short a stock that is moving down.

How much risky short selling can be? Well, in theory there is no stopping a stock price to reach the sky. So if you are wrong in your short selling decision, your loss can be catastrophic. But don’t worry, short sellers also use stop loss so if the price starts to move up, your position will get closed automatically by the stop loss order.

Know something known as Short Squeeze. Once that happens, almost all short sellers get desperate to dump their stocks and exit but when they try to buy back the stock, they get more hurt as the prices go even higher and higher on rising demand for the stock in the market. Now, don’t get caught in the market with short selling when good news spreads about the stock that you had shorted driving its price up.

If you have already shorted that stock, you might get a call from your broker to return that stock immediately. In such a case, you will have to immediately return the stock even if it doesn’t make any sense to you!As said before, companies, investors and many brokers hate short sellers. They think that short sellers had intentionally driven down the stock prices. So sometimes, they will spread rumors of good news to create a momentary short squeeze. Sometimes, a campaign will be started by the owners of a particular stock instructing their brokers not to loan out their stocks to short sellers.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Read this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading FREE Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade-stocks, forex, futures or options! Turn $200 into $100K in just 3 months with this Penny Stock Trading FREE Report!

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